Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Ochagavía/Otsagabia: no list would have a majority, ANDUÑA largest

Ochagavía/Otsagabia (Navarra, 495 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ANDUÑA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 46.1% of the vote (2023: 46.5%) Majority 39%
EH BILDU±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 28.7% of the vote (2023: 28.1%) Majority 0%
OTSAGABIA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 24.9% of the vote (2023: 25.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 61% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ANDUÑALocal lists 46.5% → 46.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. EH BILDUEH Bildu 28.1% → 28.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. OTSAGABIALocal lists 25.1% → 24.9% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 398 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ochagavía/Otsagabia in size, in Navarra

Every municipality in Navarra → · All of Spain →