Monreal/Elo: AEB would keep its majority
Monreal/Elo (Navarra, 486 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 62%AEB majority
- 303valid votes in 2023 (79% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
AEB±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 49.6% of the vote (2023: 50.2%)
Majority 62%
EH BILDU±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 44.5% of the vote (2023: 43.9%)
Majority 38%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AEBLocal lists 50.2% → 49.6% 4 → 4 councillors
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 43.9% → 44.5% 3 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 303 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.