Guesálaz/Gesalatz: no list would have a majority, GH largest
Guesálaz/Gesalatz (Navarra, 438 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 60%no list with a majority
- 254valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
GH±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 44.9% of the vote (2023: 44.9%)
Majority 39%
AGRUPACION INDEPENDIENTE GUESALAZ±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 34.6% of the vote (2023: 34.6%)
Majority 1%
VG-GB±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 20.5% of the vote (2023: 20.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 60% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- GHLocal lists 44.9% → 44.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- AGRUPACION INDEPENDIENTE GUESALAZLocal lists 34.6% → 34.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- VG-GBLocal lists 20.5% → 20.5% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 254 valid votes including 0 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.