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Arguedas: UPN would keep its majority

Arguedas (Navarra, 2,312 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UPN+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 57.8% of the vote (2023: 54.6%) Majority 89%
PSN-PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 40.7% of the vote (2023: 44.0%) Majority 11%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UPNUPN 54.6% → 57.8% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. PSN-PSOEPSOE 44.0% → 40.7% 5 → 4 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,274 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Arguedas in size, in Navarra

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