Ulea: PP would keep its majority
Ulea (Murcia, 882 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 608valid votes in 2023 (88% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Ulea
Ulea is a municipality in the province of Murcia with 882 inhabitants, the 44th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 62.5% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 88.1% of the 690 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 62.5% → 62.1% 5 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 34.5% → 31.0% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 1.5% → 5.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 608 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.