Caravaca de la Cruz: PP would keep its majority
Caravaca de la Cruz (Murcia, 25,722 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 13,249valid votes in 2023 (68% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
14
councillors (2023: 15) · 65.8% of the vote (2023: 67.2%)
Majority over 99%
PSOE±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 22.3% of the vote (2023: 25.9%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 10.9% of the vote (2023: 5.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 67.2% → 65.8% 15 → 14 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 25.9% → 22.3% 5 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 5.8% → 10.9% 1 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 13,249 valid votes including 139 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.