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Totalán: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Totalán (Málaga, 750 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 38.8% of the vote (2023: 42.8%) Majority 19%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 37.4% of the vote (2023: 38.2%) Majority 10%
PACTO±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.5% of the vote (2023: 15.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 71% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 42.8% → 38.8% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PPPP 38.2% → 37.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PACTOLocal lists 15.9% → 16.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 2.6% → 6.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 502 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Totalán in size, in Málaga

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