España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Moclinejo: PP would keep its majority

Moclinejo (Málaga, 1,243 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 53.1% of the vote (2023: 49.9%) Majority 84%
PSOE-A±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 37.9% of the vote (2023: 39.0%) Majority 11%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 49.9% → 53.1% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 39.0% → 37.9% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 9.6% → 7.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 893 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Moclinejo in size, in Málaga

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