España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Cañete la Real: PP would keep its majority

Cañete la Real (Málaga, 1,584 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 54.9% of the vote (2023: 51.4%) Majority 85%
PSOE-A±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 33.2% of the vote (2023: 34.4%) Majority 1%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.1% of the vote (2023: 13.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 14% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 51.4% → 54.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 34.4% → 33.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 13.4% → 11.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,077 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cañete la Real in size, in Málaga

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