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Campillos: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Campillos (Málaga, 8,372 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 36.7% of the vote (2023: 38.7%) Majority 4%
PP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 33.6% of the vote (2023: 32.8%) Majority 1%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 21.8% of the vote (2023: 25.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 6.9% of the vote (2023: 2.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 95% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Campillos

Campillos is a municipality in the province of Málaga with 8,372 inhabitants, the 22nd largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 38.7% of the vote and 5 seats; PP was second with 5. 71.3% of the 6,736 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE-A would be largest on 5 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 38.7% → 36.7% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 32.8% → 33.6% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 25.1% → 21.8% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 2.4% → 6.9% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,800 valid votes including 50 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Campillos in size, in Málaga

Every municipality in Málaga → · All of Spain →