Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Alameda: CON ANDALUCÍA would keep its majority

Alameda (Málaga, 5,451 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CON ANDALUCÍA±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 48.3% of the vote (2023: 49.6%) Majority 53%
PSOE-A±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 33.5% of the vote (2023: 33.3%) Majority 1%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.2% of the vote (2023: 16.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 46% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 49.6% → 48.3% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 33.3% → 33.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 16.2% → 17.2% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,069 valid votes including 29 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alameda in size, in Málaga

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