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Benamocarra: POR MI PUEBLO would keep its majority

Benamocarra (Málaga, 3,085 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

POR MI PUEBLO±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 66.0% of the vote (2023: 62.1%) Majority 99%
PSOE-A±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 33.2% of the vote (2023: 36.2%) Majority 1%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Benamocarra

Benamocarra is a municipality in the province of Málaga with 3,085 inhabitants, the 44th largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 POR MI PUEBLO came first with 62.1% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 4. 82% of the 2,356 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps POR MI PUEBLO on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. POR MI PUEBLOLocal lists 62.1% → 66.0% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 36.2% → 33.2% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 1.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,933 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Benamocarra in size, in Málaga

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