Arriate: PSOE-A would keep its majority
Arriate (Málaga, 4,110 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 74%PSOE-A majority
- 2,457valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE-A±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 51.4% of the vote (2023: 50.4%)
Majority 74%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 29.6% of the vote (2023: 31.6%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 18.2% of the vote (2023: 17.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 26% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 50.4% → 51.4% 6 → 6 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 31.6% → 29.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 17.3% → 18.2% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,457 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.