Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Archidona: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Archidona (Málaga, 8,024 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 39.1% of the vote (2023: 37.8%) Majority 12%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 29.5% of the vote (2023: 33.0%) Majority 0%
PSOE-A±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 24.2% of the vote (2023: 26.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 88% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 37.8% → 39.1% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 33.0% → 29.5% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. PSOE-APSOE 26.3% → 24.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 2.0% → 6.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,515 valid votes including 39 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Archidona in size, in Málaga

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