Almogía: PP would win a majority
Almogía (Málaga, 3,885 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 51%PP majority
- 2,194valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
6
councillors (2023: 5) · 46.3% of the vote (2023: 45.7%)
Majority 51%
PSOE-A−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 44.5% of the vote (2023: 47.3%)
Majority 41%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 9% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 45.7% → 46.3% 5 → 6 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 47.3% → 44.5% 6 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 2.2% → 6.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 4.5% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,194 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.