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Algarrobo: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Algarrobo (Málaga, 6,625 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 45.4% of the vote (2023: 47.2%) Majority 41%
POR MI PUEBLO±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 21.7% of the vote (2023: 21.4%) Majority 0%
PSOE-A±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 20.3% of the vote (2023: 24.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 11.9% of the vote (2023: 6.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 59% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Algarrobo

Algarrobo is a municipality in the province of Málaga with 6,625 inhabitants, the 25th largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 47.2% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 3. 64.3% of the 4,994 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 6 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 47.2% → 45.4% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. POR MI PUEBLOLocal lists 21.4% → 21.7% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOE-APSOE 24.0% → 20.3% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 6.7% → 11.9% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,211 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Algarrobo in size, in Málaga

Every municipality in Málaga → · All of Spain →