Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Alfarnatejo: PSOE-A would keep its majority

Alfarnatejo (Málaga, 364 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 57.3% of the vote (2023: 58.7%) Majority 90%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 40.5% of the vote (2023: 39.0%) Majority 10%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 58.7% → 57.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 39.0% → 40.5% 3 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 269 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alfarnatejo in size, in Málaga

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