Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Torrelaguna: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Torrelaguna (Madrid, 4,940 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 38.7% of the vote (2023: 38.8%) Majority 17%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 27.3% of the vote (2023: 30.3%) Majority under 1%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 12.3% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%
CUV (IU - PODEMOS.- AV)−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.1% of the vote (2023: 15.2%) Majority 0%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.5% of the vote (2023: 8.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 82% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 38.8% → 38.7% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 30.3% → 27.3% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 6.6% → 12.3% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. CUV (IU - PODEMOS.- AV)Sumar, Podemos and allies 15.2% → 12.1% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 8.0% → 8.5% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,353 valid votes including 28 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Torrelaguna in size, in Madrid

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