Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Orusco de Tajuña: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Orusco de Tajuña (Madrid, 1,326 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 43.0% of the vote (2023: 47.3%) Majority 32%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 23.9% of the vote (2023: 24.9%) Majority 0%
CS±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.8% of the vote (2023: 21.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.2% of the vote (2023: 5.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 68% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 47.3% → 43.0% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 24.9% → 23.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. CSCiudadanos 21.1% → 21.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 5.2% → 10.2% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 0.3% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 714 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Orusco de Tajuña in size, in Madrid

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