Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Olmeda de las Fuentes: CIO would keep its majority

Olmeda de las Fuentes (Madrid, 376 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CIO±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 61.9% of the vote (2023: 61.2%) Majority over 99%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.8% of the vote (2023: 21.4%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.1% of the vote (2023: 13.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Olmeda de las Fuentes

Olmeda de las Fuentes is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 376 inhabitants, the 155th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CIO came first with 61.2% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 1. 78.6% of the 285 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps CIO on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CIOLocal lists 61.2% → 61.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 21.4% → 17.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  3. PPPP 13.4% → 12.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 3.1% → 7.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 224 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Olmeda de las Fuentes in size, in Madrid

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