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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Madrid

Montejo de la Sierra: PP would keep its majority

Montejo de la Sierra (Madrid, 372 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 59.4% of the vote (2023: 58.4%) Majority 99%
IPM±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.1% of the vote (2023: 23.5%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.7% of the vote (2023: 14.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Montejo de la Sierra

Montejo de la Sierra is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 372 inhabitants, the 156th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 58.4% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; IPM was second with 2. 75.3% of the 316 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 58.4% → 59.4% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. IPMLocal lists 23.5% → 25.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 14.3% → 11.7% 1 → 0 councillors
  4. VOXVox 0.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 238 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Montejo de la Sierra in size, in Madrid

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