La Cabrera: PP would keep its majority
La Cabrera (Madrid, 2,805 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 60%PP majority
- 1,443valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 47.8% of the vote (2023: 46.6%)
Majority 60%
PSOE−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 30.4% of the vote (2023: 32.8%)
Majority under 1%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 11.0% of the vote (2023: 5.4%)
Majority 0%
MM-VQ PARTICIPA LA CABRERA±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 9.6% of the vote (2023: 12.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 40% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 46.6% → 47.8% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 32.8% → 30.4% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 5.4% → 11.0% 0 → 1 councillors
- MM-VQ PARTICIPA LA CABRERASumar, Podemos and allies 12.2% → 9.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 1.9% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,443 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.