Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Chinchón: no list would have a majority, AVANZA CHINCHÓN largest

Chinchón (Madrid, 5,658 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AVANZA CHINCHÓN±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 32.0% of the vote (2023: 31.5%) Majority 0%
ATYSCH−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.4% of the vote (2023: 18.1%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.6% of the vote (2023: 17.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 8.8%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.9% of the vote (2023: 17.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AVANZA CHINCHÓNLocal lists 31.5% → 32.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. ATYSCHLocal lists 18.1% → 18.4% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 17.9% → 16.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 8.8% → 14.6% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. PSOEPSOE 17.3% → 13.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. JXCHLocal lists 2.8% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,782 valid votes including 37 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Chinchón in size, in Madrid

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