Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Rábade: PP would keep its majority

Rábade (Lugo, 1,503 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 45.3% of the vote (2023: 48.2%) Majority 61%
IR±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 32.5% of the vote (2023: 32.8%) Majority 2%
B.N.G.+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.9% of the vote (2023: 6.0%) Majority 0%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.3% of the vote (2023: 11.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 37% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 48.2% → 45.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. IRLocal lists 32.8% → 32.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. B.N.G.BNG 6.0% → 8.9% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 11.5% → 8.3% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. VOXVox 1.1% → 4.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 951 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Rábade in size, in Lugo

Every municipality in Lugo → · All of Spain →