Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Pantón: PP would keep its majority

Pantón (Lugo, 2,435 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 45.7% of the vote (2023: 51.8%) Majority 48%
B.N.G.+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 37.3% of the vote (2023: 26.8%) Majority 7%
AP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.8% of the vote (2023: 9.4%) Majority 0%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.6% of the vote (2023: 11.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 45% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Pantón

Pantón is a municipality in the province of Lugo with 2,435 inhabitants, the 33rd largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 51.8% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; B.N.G. was second with 3. 80.3% of the 2,127 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 48% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 51.8% → 45.7% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. B.N.G.BNG 26.8% → 37.3% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. APLocal lists 9.4% → 8.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 11.3% → 7.6% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,708 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Pantón in size, in Lugo

Every municipality in Lugo → · All of Spain →