Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Monterroso: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Monterroso (Lugo, 3,585 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 25.0% of the vote (2023: 26.8%) Majority 0%
PSDEG-PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.3% of the vote (2023: 26.5%) Majority 0%
IXM±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 19.9% of the vote (2023: 19.9%) Majority 0%
B.N.G.+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 18.4% of the vote (2023: 12.3%) Majority 0%
GLG−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.1% of the vote (2023: 14.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Monterroso

Monterroso is a municipality in the province of Lugo with 3,585 inhabitants, the 16th largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 26.8% of the vote and 3 seats; PSDEG-PSOE was second with 3. 82.6% of the 3,109 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 3 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 26.8% → 25.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 26.5% → 22.3% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. IXMLocal lists 19.9% → 19.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. B.N.G.BNG 12.3% → 18.4% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. GLGLocal lists 14.1% → 14.1% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,568 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Monterroso in size, in Lugo

Every municipality in Lugo → · All of Spain →