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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Lleida

Vilanova de la Barca: CM would keep its majority

Vilanova de la Barca (Lleida, 1,110 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 48.6% of the vote (2023: 56.1%) Majority 56%
TSV - AM±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 46.5% of the vote (2023: 37.8%) Majority 44%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Vilanova de la Barca

Vilanova de la Barca is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 1,110 inhabitants, the 60th largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 56.1% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; TSV - AM was second with 4. 68.9% of the 740 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 56% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 56.1% → 48.6% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. TSV - AMERC 37.8% → 46.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 4.7% → 3.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 510 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Vilanova de la Barca in size, in Lleida

Every municipality in Lleida → · All of Spain →