Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Vilagrassa: CM would keep its majority

Vilagrassa (Lleida, 605 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 66.0% of the vote (2023: 72.8%) Majority 99%
FP-AM+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 31.1% of the vote (2023: 24.3%) Majority 1%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Vilagrassa

Vilagrassa is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 605 inhabitants, the 101st largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 72.8% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; FP-AM was second with 1. 73.6% of the 420 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 72.8% → 66.0% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. FP-AMERC 24.3% → 31.1% 1 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 309 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Vilagrassa in size, in Lleida

Every municipality in Lleida → · All of Spain →