Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Torrefarrera: CM would keep its majority

Torrefarrera (Lleida, 4,730 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 45.8% of the vote (2023: 49.9%) Majority 67%
ARA PL±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.9% of the vote (2023: 21.8%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.0% of the vote (2023: 13.1%) Majority 0%
PSC - UNITS - CP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.7% of the vote (2023: 8.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 33% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 49.9% → 45.8% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. ARA PLLocal lists 21.8% → 22.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. ERC - AMERC 13.1% → 17.0% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 2.2% → 6.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PSC - UNITS - CPPSOE 8.4% → 5.7% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. PPPP 2.3% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. TEC - CONFLUÈNCIASumar, Podemos and allies 1.4% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,069 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Torrefarrera in size, in Lleida

Every municipality in Lleida → · All of Spain →