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Rosselló: no list would have a majority, CM largest

Rosselló (Lleida, 3,278 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 40.0% of the vote (2023: 44.5%) Majority 30%
VR - AM+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 32.2% of the vote (2023: 25.3%) Majority 3%
AR - CP−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.2% of the vote (2023: 16.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 6.9% of the vote (2023: 2.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 67% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Rosselló

Rosselló is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 3,278 inhabitants, the 22nd largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 44.5% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; VR - AM was second with 3. 55.8% of the 2,310 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CM would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 44.5% → 40.0% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. VR - AMERC 25.3% → 32.2% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. AR - CPPSOE 16.3% → 13.2% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 2.7% → 6.9% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. REC-CSumar, Podemos and allies 6.7% → 4.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PPPP 2.9% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,289 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Rosselló in size, in Lleida

Every municipality in Lleida → · All of Spain →