Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Miralcamp: CM would keep its majority

Miralcamp (Lleida, 1,364 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 60.3% of the vote (2023: 67.9%) Majority 94%
AM - AM±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 37.5% of the vote (2023: 29.8%) Majority 6%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Miralcamp

Miralcamp is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 1,364 inhabitants, the 51st largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 67.9% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; AM - AM was second with 3. 81.3% of the 1,023 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 94% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 67.9% → 60.3% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. AM - AMERC 29.8% → 37.5% 3 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 832 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Miralcamp in size, in Lleida

Every municipality in Lleida → · All of Spain →