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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Lleida

Lleida: no list would have a majority, PSC-UNITS-CP largest

Lleida (Lleida, 140,797 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSC-UNITS-CP−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 23.4% of the vote (2023: 27.4%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 19.0% of the vote (2023: 15.2%) Majority 0%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 14.2% of the vote (2023: 15.5%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.0% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%
CM−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 12.8% of the vote (2023: 14.5%) Majority 0%
COMÚDELLEIDA-C−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 2.7% of the vote (2023: 5.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSC-UNITS-CPPSOE 27.4% → 23.4% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 15.2% → 19.0% 5 → 6 councillors
  3. PPPP 15.5% → 14.2% 5 → 5 councillors
  4. VOXVox 7.6% → 13.0% 2 → 4 councillors
  5. CMJunts 14.5% → 12.8% 5 → 4 councillors
  6. ARA PLLocal lists 4.8% → 4.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. CUP - AMUNTCUP 4.6% → 4.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. COMÚDELLEIDA-CSumar, Podemos and allies 5.0% → 2.7% 1 → 0 councillors
  9. CSCiudadanos 1.3% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. VALENTSLocal lists 1.1% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  11. ESCONS EN BLANCLocal lists 0.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 47,291 valid votes including 1,040 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Lleida in size, in Lleida

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