Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Seu d'Urgell: no list would have a majority, CXLS - CP largest

La Seu d'Urgell (Lleida, 12,261 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CXLS - CP−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 38.0% of the vote (2023: 42.7%) Majority 9%
CM±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 20.1% of the vote (2023: 22.6%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.1% of the vote (2023: 15.2%) Majority 0%
C.U.P. - AMUNT±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.0% of the vote (2023: 11.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.0% of the vote (2023: 2.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 91% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CXLS - CPPSOE 42.7% → 38.0% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. CMJunts 22.6% → 20.1% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. ERC - AMERC 15.2% → 19.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. C.U.P. - AMUNTCUP 11.8% → 12.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. VOXVox 2.9% → 7.0% 0 → 1 councillors
  6. PPPP 2.8% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,389 valid votes including 91 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Seu d'Urgell in size, in Lleida

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