Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Sentiu de Sió: CM would keep its majority

La Sentiu de Sió (Lleida, 417 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 46.3% of the vote (2023: 52.3%) Majority 52%
IS-AM±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 44.8% of the vote (2023: 35.8%) Majority 41%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 6% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About La Sentiu de Sió

La Sentiu de Sió is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 417 inhabitants, the 122nd largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 52.3% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; IS-AM was second with 3. 77.4% of the 368 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 52% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 52.3% → 46.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. IS-AMERC 35.8% → 44.8% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. IXSS-CPPSOE 11.6% → 8.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 285 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Sentiu de Sió in size, in Lleida

Every municipality in Lleida → · All of Spain →