L'Espluga Calba: TE-XTU would keep its majority
L'Espluga Calba (Lleida, 331 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 96%TE-XTU majority
- 210valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About L'Espluga Calba
L'Espluga Calba is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 331 inhabitants, the 138th largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 TE-XTU came first with 63.3% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; GREC-AM was second with 2. 78.4% of the 268 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps TE-XTU on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 96% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- TE-XTULocal lists 63.3% → 58.5% 5 → 4 councillors
- GREC-AMERC 33.3% → 38.1% 2 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 210 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.