L'Espluga Calba: TE-XTU would keep its majority
L'Espluga Calba (Lleida, 331 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 96%TE-XTU majority
- 210valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
TE-XTU−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 58.5% of the vote (2023: 63.3%)
Majority 96%
GREC-AM+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 38.1% of the vote (2023: 33.3%)
Majority 4%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- TE-XTULocal lists 63.3% → 58.5% 5 → 4 councillors
- GREC-AMERC 33.3% → 38.1% 2 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 210 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.