Ivars d'Urgell: E-AM would keep its majority
Ivars d'Urgell (Lleida, 1,560 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%E-AM majority
- 792valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Ivars d'Urgell
Ivars d'Urgell is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 1,560 inhabitants, the 47th largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 E-AM came first with 68.6% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; CM was second with 2. 71.5% of the 1,108 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps E-AM on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- E-AMERC 68.6% → 75.2% 7 → 7 councillors
- CMJunts 29.2% → 22.6% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 792 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.