Cervera: no list would have a majority, PSC-CP largest
Cervera (Lleida, 9,393 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 2,969valid votes in 2023 (49% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Cervera
Cervera is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 9,393 inhabitants, the 7th largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSC-CP came first with 31.2% of the vote and 5 seats; CM was second with 3. 49.1% of the 6,047 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSC-CP would be largest on 4 of 13.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSC-CPPSOE 31.2% → 26.5% 5 → 4 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 17.7% → 21.8% 2 → 3 councillors
- SIF - FICLocal lists 18.4% → 18.4% 3 → 3 councillors
- CMJunts 19.4% → 16.9% 3 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 3.9% → 8.2% 0 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 5.2% → 4.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,969 valid votes including 125 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.