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Almacelles: no list would have a majority, ARA PL largest

Almacelles (Lleida, 6,922 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ARA PL+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.5% of the vote (2023: 22.7%) Majority 0%
CM±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 22.9% of the vote (2023: 25.3%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.5% of the vote (2023: 12.9%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.5% of the vote (2023: 13.5%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.4% of the vote (2023: 5.4%) Majority 0%
AEC - C−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.1% of the vote (2023: 13.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Almacelles

Almacelles is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 6,922 inhabitants, the 10th largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 25.3% of the vote and 4 seats; ARA PL was second with 3. 54.6% of the 4,597 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CM would be largest on 4 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ARA PLLocal lists 22.7% → 23.5% 3 → 4 councillors
  2. CMJunts 25.3% → 22.9% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. ERC - AMERC 12.9% → 16.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PSC-CPPSOE 13.5% → 10.5% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. VOXVox 5.4% → 10.4% 0 → 1 councillors
  6. AEC - CSumar, Podemos and allies 13.2% → 10.1% 2 → 1 councillors
  7. PPPP 4.2% → 3.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. CSCiudadanos 0.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,511 valid votes including 57 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Almacelles in size, in Lleida

Every municipality in Lleida → · All of Spain →