Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Valdefuentes del Páramo: PP would keep its majority

Valdefuentes del Páramo (León, 315 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 54.5% of the vote (2023: 54.3%) Majority 80%
U.P.L.±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 44.8% of the vote (2023: 42.5%) Majority 20%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Valdefuentes del Páramo

Valdefuentes del Páramo is a municipality in the province of León with 315 inhabitants, the 154th largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 54.3% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; U.P.L. was second with 3. 76.6% of the 286 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 80% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 54.3% → 54.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. U.P.L.Local lists 42.5% → 44.8% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 3.2% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 219 valid votes including 0 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Valdefuentes del Páramo in size, in León

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