Turcia: PSOE would keep its majority
Turcia (León, 993 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 93%PSOE majority
- 667valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 55.2% of the vote (2023: 57.0%)
Majority 93%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 27.3% of the vote (2023: 26.8%)
Majority 0%
U.P.L.±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 16.2% of the vote (2023: 14.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 7% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 57.0% → 55.2% 4 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 26.8% → 27.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- U.P.L.Local lists 14.8% → 16.2% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 667 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.