Gradefes: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Gradefes (León, 941 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 62%no list with a majority
- 658valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 44.1% of the vote (2023: 45.6%)
Majority 36%
PSOE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 33.3% of the vote (2023: 37.7%)
Majority 2%
VOX±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 20.8% of the vote (2023: 13.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 62% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 45.6% → 44.1% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 37.7% → 33.3% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 13.5% → 20.8% 1 → 1 councillors
- IUSumar, Podemos and allies 1.4% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 658 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.