Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Hospital de Órbigo: PSOE would keep its majority

Hospital de Órbigo (León, 981 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 58.0% of the vote (2023: 59.6%) Majority 97%
PP+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 24.0% of the vote (2023: 23.7%) Majority 0%
U.P.L.±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.8% of the vote (2023: 14.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 59.6% → 58.0% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 23.7% → 24.0% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. U.P.L.Local lists 14.4% → 15.8% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 701 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Hospital de Órbigo in size, in León

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