Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Riaño: no list would have a majority, U.P.L. largest

Riaño (León, 475 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

U.P.L.±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 43.8% of the vote (2023: 41.1%) Majority 28%
PP+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 34.3% of the vote (2023: 34.3%) Majority 1%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.8% of the vote (2023: 24.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 71% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Riaño

Riaño is a municipality in the province of León with 475 inhabitants, the 112th largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 U.P.L. came first with 41.1% of the vote and 3 seats; PP was second with 2. 83.3% of the 420 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: U.P.L. would be largest on 3 of 7.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. U.P.L.Local lists 41.1% → 43.8% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PPPP 34.3% → 34.3% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 24.6% → 21.8% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 350 valid votes including 0 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Riaño in size, in León

Every municipality in León → · All of Spain →