Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Mansilla Mayor: PSOE would keep its majority

Mansilla Mayor (León, 327 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 53.2% of the vote (2023: 55.3%) Majority 89%
UPL±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.8% of the vote (2023: 23.7%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 19.4% of the vote (2023: 19.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 11% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 55.3% → 53.2% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. UPLLocal lists 23.7% → 25.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 19.5% → 19.4% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 257 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Mansilla Mayor in size, in León

Every municipality in León → · All of Spain →