Mansilla Mayor: PSOE would keep its majority
Mansilla Mayor (León, 327 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 89%PSOE majority
- 257valid votes in 2023 (84% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 53.2% of the vote (2023: 55.3%)
Majority 89%
UPL±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 25.8% of the vote (2023: 23.7%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 19.4% of the vote (2023: 19.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 11% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 55.3% → 53.2% 4 → 4 councillors
- UPLLocal lists 23.7% → 25.8% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 19.5% → 19.4% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 257 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.