Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Robla: PSOE would keep its majority

La Robla (León, 3,654 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 46.1% of the vote (2023: 50.6%) Majority 60%
VOX±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 23.0% of the vote (2023: 15.0%) Majority 0%
UPL±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.1% of the vote (2023: 17.5%) Majority 0%
IU-PODEMOS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.3% of the vote (2023: 11.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 40% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 50.6% → 46.1% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. VOXVox 15.0% → 23.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. UPLLocal lists 17.5% → 18.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 11.3% → 8.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PPPP 4.2% → 3.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,153 valid votes including 29 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Robla in size, in León

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