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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · León

Carucedo: PSOE would keep its majority

Carucedo (León, 501 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 45.7% of the vote (2023: 47.7%) Majority 54%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 42.9% of the vote (2023: 41.7%) Majority 28%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 18% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Carucedo

Carucedo is a municipality in the province of León with 501 inhabitants, the 107th largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 47.7% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 84.9% of the 469 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 54% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 47.7% → 45.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 41.7% → 42.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. C. BIERZOLocal lists 9.5% → 10.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 398 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Carucedo in size, in León

Every municipality in León → · All of Spain →