Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Camponaraya: PSOE would keep its majority

Camponaraya (León, 4,109 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 62.1% of the vote (2023: 63.8%) Majority over 99%
C. BIERZO±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.5% of the vote (2023: 19.7%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.4% of the vote (2023: 11.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 63.8% → 62.1% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. C. BIERZOLocal lists 19.7% → 21.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 11.8% → 11.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. CCLocal lists 3.0% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,266 valid votes including 38 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Camponaraya in size, in León

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