Cabrillanes: UPL would keep its majority
Cabrillanes (León, 713 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 99%UPL majority
- 576valid votes in 2023 (86% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
UPL+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 58.4% of the vote (2023: 55.0%)
Majority 99%
PSOE−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 20.3% of the vote (2023: 23.1%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 20.2% of the vote (2023: 20.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- UPLLocal lists 55.0% → 58.4% 4 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 23.1% → 20.3% 2 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 20.7% → 20.2% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 576 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Cabrillanes in size, in León
- Quintana del Castillo709 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Castrocontrigo701 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Villamontán de la Valduerna701 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- El Burgo Ranero697 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Riego de la Vega731 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Priaranza del Bierzo742 inhabitants · 7 councillors